PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara 1–2 Sporting · Primeira Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 1–2.

Shots
521
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.741.67
Possession
26%74%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Santa Clara 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santa Clara – Sporting CP): shots 5–21, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.74–1.67, possession 26%–74%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santa Clara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSanta Clara · Sporting CP20.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSanta ClaraSporting CPBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match20.5 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match7.64 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.75 corners/matchCornersSanta Clara · Sporting CP● 7.64 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSanta ClaraSporting CPBaseline
Corners4.75 corners/match7.64 corners/match4.09 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots21 shotsSanta Clara 5 shots, Sporting 21 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsSanta Clara 2 shots, Sporting 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.74 xG1.67 xGSanta Clara 0.74 xG, Sporting 1.67 xG
  • Possession26%74%Santa Clara 26%, Sporting 74%
  • Corners2 corners12 cornersSanta Clara 2 corners, Sporting 12 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsSanta Clara 11 fouls, Sporting 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards9 cards4 cardsSanta Clara 9 cards, Sporting 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Inácio · Sporting CP · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSerginho · Santa Clara · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 35′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBrenner · Santa Clara · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 38′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMorten Hjulmand · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.15 xG · goalMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 28′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedSidney Lima · Santa Clara · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 81′ · 0.23 xG · on targetPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 32′ · 0.31 xG · goalVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 5′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Santa Clara: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.77 xG. Sporting CP: 21 shots, 7 on target, 1.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Vinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 5′Pedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 32′Morten Hjulmand · Sporting CP · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Santa Clara 0.77 xG · Sporting CP 1.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Santa Clara
0Draws
4Sporting
Santa Clara — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga3–0
Santa Clara — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–2
Sporting — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santa Clara favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santa Clara12 matchesSporting11 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲ 2.45 goals/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲ 0.55 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 2.42 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots12/11▲ 20.5 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target12/11▲ 7.73 shots/match
49.3%Possession12/11● 62.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners12/11● 7.64 corners/match
3.55 cards/matchCards11/112.18 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls12/1111.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSanta ClaraSporting
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSanta Clara — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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