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Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Gomes

CF Estrela Amadora 0–2 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC won 0–2.

Shots
1014
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.511.54
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guimaraes beat Estrela 2–0. Recorded in this match (Estrela – Guimaraes): shots 10–14, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.51–1.54, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estrela have a visible home split

weak

Estrela's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots14 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 10 shots, Vitória SC 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 1 shot, Vitória SC 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG1.54 xGCF Estrela Amadora 0.51 xG, Vitória SC 1.54 xG
  • Possession60%40%CF Estrela Amadora 60%, Vitória SC 40%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersCF Estrela Amadora 3 corners, Vitória SC 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsCF Estrela Amadora 10 fouls, Vitória SC 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsCF Estrela Amadora 2 cards, Vitória SC 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBeni Mukendi · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Moreira · Estrela · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTelmo Arcanjo · Guimaraes · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbraham Marcus · Estrela · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKikas · Estrela · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbraham Marcus · Estrela · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Nogueira · Guimaraes · 37′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlan Godoy · Estrela · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 33′ · 0.05 xG · goalGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 43′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIanis Stoica · Estrela · 60′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAtanas Chernev · Estrela · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Pinho · Estrela · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 57′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 24′ · 0.43 xG · on targetGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 42′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estrela: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.48 xG. Guimaraes: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 33′Alioune Ndoye · Guimaraes · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estrela 0.48 xG · Guimaraes 1.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CF Estrela Amadora
1Draws
3Vitória SC
Vitória SC — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga2–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga2–2
Vitória SC — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga3–0
CF Estrela Amadora — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Estrela Amadora favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória SC in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Estrela Amadora5 matchesVitória SC5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.17 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.95 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 12.6 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 3.8 shots/match
47.6%Possession5/5● 50.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 3.8 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCF Estrela AmadoraVitória SC
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headCF Estrela Amadora — Vitória SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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