PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Arouca

FC Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia · Primeira Liga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Casa Pia won 0–2.

Shots
89
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.271.49
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Casa Pia beat Arouca 2–0. Recorded in this match (Arouca – Casa Pia): shots 8–9, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.27–1.49, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Arouca have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.7% ●PossessionArouca · Casa Pia43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAroucaCasa PiaBaseline
Possession52.7%43.7%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsFC Arouca 8 shots, Casa Pia 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsFC Arouca 3 shots, Casa Pia 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.27 xG1.49 xGFC Arouca 0.27 xG, Casa Pia 1.49 xG
  • Possession66%34%FC Arouca 66%, Casa Pia 34%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersFC Arouca 7 corners, Casa Pia 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls21 foulsFC Arouca 18 fouls, Casa Pia 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards7 cardsFC Arouca 2 cards, Casa Pia 7 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brian Mansilla · Arouca · 77′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedSebastián Pérez · Casa Pia · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Dante · Arouca · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMiguel Puche · Arouca · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHyun-ju Lee · Arouca · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 55′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAmadou Dante · Arouca · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCassiano · Casa Pia · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJose Fontán · Arouca · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIvan Barbero · Arouca · 70′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJosé Fonte · Casa Pia · 30′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCassiano · Casa Pia · 14′ · 0.11 xG · goalTiago Morais · Casa Pia · 8′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDavid Sousa · Casa Pia · 67′ · 0.13 xG · goalDylan Nandín · Arouca · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedDailon Rocha Livramento · Casa Pia · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 20′ · 0.30 xG · on targetJérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 8′ · 0.32 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arouca: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.47 xG. Casa Pia: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Cassiano · Casa Pia · 14′David Sousa · Casa Pia · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arouca 0.47 xG · Casa Pia 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Arouca
1Draws
3Casa Pia
FC Arouca — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga0–0
Casa Pia — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga3–1
Casa Pia — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga1–0
FC Arouca — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga0–1
FC Arouca — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Arouca favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Casa Pia in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Arouca6 matchesCasa Pia6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
0.56 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 0.86 xG/match
9.33 shots/match ▲Shots6/68.67 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession6/643.7%
3.67 corners/match ●Corners6/63 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.8 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/616 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AroucaCasa Pia
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Arouca — Casa Pia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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