PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitória SC 1–1 Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória SC and Sporting Braga drew 1–1.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.291.4
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guimaraes and SC Braga drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Guimaraes – SC Braga): shots 11–17, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.29–1.4, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Braga's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Braga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.2%PossessionGuimaraes · SC Braga● 69.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGuimaraesSC BragaBaseline
Possession48.2%69.3%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Guimaraes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Guimaraes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsGuimaraes · SC Braga15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGuimaraesSC BragaBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match15.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match7.86 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsVitória SC 11 shots, Sporting Braga 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsVitória SC 3 shots, Sporting Braga 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.29 xG1.4 xGVitória SC 1.29 xG, Sporting Braga 1.4 xG
  • Possession38%62%Vitória SC 38%, Sporting Braga 62%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersVitória SC 3 corners, Sporting Braga 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsVitória SC 14 fouls, Sporting Braga 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsVitória SC 2 cards, Sporting Braga 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Miguel Nogueira · Guimaraes · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 56′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNoah Saviolo · Guimaraes · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoão Moutinho · SC Braga · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rivas · Guimaraes · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 32′ · 0.02 xG · goalRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 22′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSikou Niakaté · SC Braga · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 25′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Silva · Guimaraes · 8′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSikou Niakaté · SC Braga · 45′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 25′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSamu · Guimaraes · 63′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedFran Navarro · SC Braga · 27′ · 0.27 xG · goalNélson Oliveira · Guimaraes · 45′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Guimaraes: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.39 xG. SC Braga: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Matija Mitrović · Guimaraes · 32′Fran Navarro · SC Braga · 27′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Guimaraes 1.39 xG · SC Braga 1.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vitória SC
2Draws
1Sporting Braga
Vitória SC — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–0
Sporting Braga — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–2
Vitória SC — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–3
Sporting Braga — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–1
Vitória SC — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC6 matchesSporting Braga7 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.76 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots6/7▲ 15.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 6.14 shots/match
48.2%Possession6/7● 69.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/7● 7 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls6/79.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitória SCSporting Braga
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headVitória SC — Sporting Braga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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