La Liga · 2025Mon, 4 May 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

LLWLL

1–0Full-time recap

Real Sociedad

LWDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Real Sociedad
Shots	19 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	0 shots/match
Expected goals	1.39 xG/match▲	0.16 xG/match
Possession	42%	58%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	19 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.7 fouls/match▲FoulsSevilla · Real Sociedad14 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Real Sociedad	Baseline
Fouls	14.7 fouls/match	14 fouls/match	12.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sevilla

0Draws

1Real Sociedad

24 Oct 2025Real Sociedad — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 7 · 5 too close

1.21 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/34▲1.53 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.56 goals/match

0.82 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲1.46 xG/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.3 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/34▲12.7 shots/match

10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 34/3413.4 shots/match

3.47 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/34▲4.71 shots/match

4.29 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/344.24 shots/match

51.4%Possessionseason · 34/3451.1%

4.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/345.74 corners/match

4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/344.62 corners/match

3.04 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/29▲2.17 cards/match

14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3414 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/349%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/34▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla72.5

Real Sociedad67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla35

Real Sociedad71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla45

Real Sociedad32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla17.5

Real Sociedad57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla90

Real Sociedad57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla57.5

Real Sociedad77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla49.4

Real Sociedad75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

0.9 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.42 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.2 shots/match

1.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match

40%Possession5/555.8%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

0.82 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.46 xG/match

10.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.1 shots/match

2.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.4 shots/match

46.4%Possession10/1055.9%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/52.2 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches

1.21 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲1.53 goals/match

1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.56 goals/match

0.82 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.46 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots34/34▲12.7 shots/match

3.47 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲4.71 shots/match

51.4%Possession34/3451.1%

4.91 corners/matchCorners34/345.74 corners/match

3.04 cards/matchCards28/292.17 cards/match

14.7 fouls/matchFouls34/3414 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.18 goals/match

1.35 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.65 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.04 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots17/17▲12.2 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲4.41 shots/match

51.7%Possession17/1750.9%

4.65 corners/matchCorners17/175.29 corners/match

3.14 cards/matchCards14/152.33 cards/match

15.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1714 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.29 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated fouls records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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