La Liga · 2025Sun, 3 May 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

LWLLL

3–1Full-time recap

Elche

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Elche
Shots	6 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.82 xG/match	1.45 xG/match▲
Possession	33%	67%
Corners	4 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.8 shots/match	10.4 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.47 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.47 shots/match	10.9 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Celta Vigo

0Draws

1Elche

28 Sept 2025Elche — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Elche in 2 · 5 too close

1.41 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 34/341.32 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 34/341.56 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.09 xG/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/7▲1.31 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/34▲10.9 shots/match

12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 34/3414.2 shots/match

4.15 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/343.94 shots/match

4.09 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 34/344.88 shots/match

50.6%Possessionseason · 34/3457.9%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/343.82 corners/match

4.47 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/344.65 corners/match

1.89 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/292.21 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3413 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

24%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3421%

82%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3485%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo57.5

Elche87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo47.5

Elche43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo63.3

Elche21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo12.5

Elche2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo17.5

Elche47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo32.5

Elche12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo33.8

Elche34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.11 xG/match

7.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲10 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match

50.2%Possession5/555.4%

3.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.09 xG/match

9.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲10.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

49.2%Possession10/1056.5%

3.8 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/52.6 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

34 / 34 matches

1.41 goals/match▲Goals scored34/341.32 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed34/341.56 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.09 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots34/34▲10.9 shots/match

4.15 shots/matchShots on target34/343.94 shots/match

50.6%Possession34/3457.9%

4 corners/matchCorners34/343.82 corners/match

1.89 cards/matchCards27/292.21 cards/match

11.8 fouls/matchFouls34/3413 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches

1.53 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171 goals/match

1.47 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/172.06 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals3/40.72 xG/match

11.5 shots/match▲Shots17/178.47 shots/match

4.35 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.06 shots/match

52.2%Possession17/1755.8%

4.59 corners/matchCorners17/172.94 corners/match

1.79 cards/matchCards14/142.5 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

Elche have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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