La Liga · 2025Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche · La Liga

3–1Historical match

Elche

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 3–1.

Shots
615
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.051.71
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Elche 3–1. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Elche): shots 6–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.05–1.71, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Elche have a visible away split

moderate

Elche's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.53 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.53 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsCelta Vigo 6 shots, Elche 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCelta Vigo 4 shots, Elche 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG1.71 xGCelta Vigo 1.05 xG, Elche 1.71 xG
  • Possession33%67%Celta Vigo 33%, Elche 67%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersCelta Vigo 4 corners, Elche 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsCelta Vigo 14 fouls, Elche 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardCelta Vigo 2 cards, Elche 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tete Morente · Elche · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Chust · Elche · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Cepeda · Elche · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHector Fort · Elche · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Rodriguez · Elche · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTete Morente · Elche · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrià Pedrosa · Elche · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavi Rodríguez · Celta Vigo · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 2′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavid Affengruber · Elche · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndré Silva · Elche · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 30′ · 0.07 xG · goalMarc Aguado · Elche · 5′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 70′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJohn Nwankwo · Elche · 37′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 85′ · 0.19 xG · goalHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.36 xG · goalAndré Silva · Elche · 82′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.79 xG. Elche: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Hugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 14′Iago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 30′Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 85′André Silva · Elche · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.79 xG · Elche 1.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Celta Vigo
0Draws
2Elche
Elche — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–1
Celta Vigo — Elche · La Liga1–0
Elche — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–1
Celta Vigo — Elche · La Liga1–0
Elche — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Elche in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo34 matchesElche34 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.32 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.56 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.18 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 11 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target34/343.94 shots/match
50.6%Possession34/34● 57.9%
4 corners/match ●Corners34/343.85 corners/match
1.89 cards/matchCards27/302.17 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls34/3413 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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