La Liga · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Manuel Martínez ValeroFull-time recap

Elche

DLDLL

2–1Full-time recap

Mallorca

LLLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Elche	Mallorca
Shots	13 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.56 xG/match▲	1.47 xG/match
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	2 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Elche have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Elche have a visible home split

moderate

Elche's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Elche have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.4%▲PossessionElche · Mallorca45.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Elche	Mallorca	Baseline
Possession	58.4%	45.2%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Elche

0Draws

1Mallorca

13 Dec 2025Mallorca — Elche · La Liga3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Elche favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 8 too close

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.17 goals/match

1.59 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/291.62 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

11.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/2910.5 shots/match

14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/2915 shots/match

3.93 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/294.03 shots/match

4.9 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 29/294.86 shots/match

58.4%Possessionseason · 29/2945.2%

3.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/293.31 corners/match

4.38 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/296.69 corners/match

2.11 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/282.43 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2911.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2910%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2972%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Elche87.5

Mallorca27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Elche40.8

Mallorca32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Elche17.5

Mallorca18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Elche2.5

Mallorca32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Elche42.5

Mallorca38.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Elche12.5

Mallorca2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Elche33.8

Mallorca21.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

57.6%Possession5/551.6%

3 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/43.5 cards/match

14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.9 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10.8 shots/matchShots10/1010.9 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match

56.6%Possession10/1047%

4.1 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match

2.5 cards/matchCards8/92.33 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.17 goals/match

1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.62 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.1 shots/match▲Shots29/2910.5 shots/match

3.93 shots/matchShots on target29/294.03 shots/match

58.4%Possession29/2945.2%

3.62 corners/matchCorners29/293.31 corners/match

2.11 cards/matchCards27/282.43 cards/match

13 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match

1.07 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.93 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.7 shots/match▲Shots15/159.13 shots/match

4.93 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.53 shots/match

59.5%Possession15/1542.9%

4.13 corners/matchCorners15/153.27 corners/match

1.93 cards/matchCards14/142.64 cards/match

12.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4