PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
Shots18 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession45%55%
Corners6 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Atletico Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.5 corners/match▲CornersReal Sociedad · Atletico Madrid6.79 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadAtletico MadridBaseline
Corners6.5 corners/match6.79 corners/match4.86 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Atletico Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Atletico Madrid in 9 · 4 too close

1.22 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/19▲1.79 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/19▲0.89 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 18/1912.8 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/19▲10.8 shots/match
4.94 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/19▲5.47 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/19▲3 shots/match
51.7%Possessionseason · 18/1953.5%
6.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/196.79 corners/match
4.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/19▲3.68 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCardsseason · 18/19▲1.95 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1911.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/19▲37%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/19▲95%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad67.5
Atletico Madrid72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad70
Atletico Madrid77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad55.8
Atletico Madrid90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad67.5
Atletico Madrid52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad68.8
Atletico Madrid20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad87.5
Atletico Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad83.1
Atletico Madrid66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
54%Possession5/549.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.4 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.3 shots/match
51.1%Possession10/1052.3%
5.9 corners/matchCorners10/107.4 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 19 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored18/19▲1.79 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed18/19▲0.89 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots18/1912.8 shots/match
4.94 shots/matchShots on target18/19▲5.47 shots/match
51.7%Possession18/1953.5%
6.5 corners/matchCorners18/196.79 corners/match
2.28 cards/matchCards18/191.95 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1911.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 10 matches
1.44 goals/match▲Goals scored9/101.2 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots9/1010.8 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target9/104.1 shots/match
53.8%Possession9/1052.2%
6.67 corners/matchCorners9/105 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards9/102 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls9/1012.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.3 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 5 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match