PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 3 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeRCDE StadiumFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolBarcelona
Shots14 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target7 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Possession31%69%
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsEspanyol · Barcelona19.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolBarcelonaBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match19.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.53 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.2%▲PossessionEspanyol · Barcelona68.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 28.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolBarcelonaBaseline
Possession40.2%68.4%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Espanyol's recent record differs from the season

weak

Espanyol's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 8 · 5 too close

1.22 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 18/19▲2.79 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/191.05 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/19▲19.6 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/19▲9.53 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/19▲7.47 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/19▲3.68 shots/match
40.2%Possessionseason · 18/1968.4%
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/197.11 corners/match
4.94 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/19▲4.58 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 18/19▲1.63 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/199.47 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
39%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/1937%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 18/19▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol2.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol59.2
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol49.2
Barcelona84.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol92.5
Barcelona77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol46.2
Barcelona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol37.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol57.5
Barcelona73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲18.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.4 shots/match
36.8%Possession5/569.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/58.6 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/50.8 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.9 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲18.3 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.5 shots/match
38.9%Possession10/1066.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/106.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

18 / 19 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored18/19▲2.79 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed18/191.05 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/matchShots18/19▲19.6 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target18/19▲7.47 shots/match
40.2%Possession18/1968.4%
4.33 corners/matchCorners18/197.11 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards18/191.63 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls18/199.47 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.5 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲18.7 shots/match
5.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲7.3 shots/match
41.6%Possession10/1068.9%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/106.9 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match