PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

LLDDL
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOviedoRayo Vallecano
Shots8 shots/match12 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match▲
Possession39%61%
Corners5 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.38 shots/match▲ShotsOviedo · Rayo Vallecano12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOviedoRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots8.38 shots/match12.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Rayo Vallecano have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.2%▲PossessionOviedo · Rayo Vallecano53.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOviedoRayo VallecanoBaseline
Possession43.2%53.3%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 10 · 4 too close

0.54 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲0.92 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.38 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲12.7 shots/match
16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲12 shots/match
2.92 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.08 shots/match
6.62 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲4.15 shots/match
43.2%Possessionseason · 13/1353.3%
3.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/136.15 corners/match
6.46 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲5.38 corners/match
2.62 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/13▲2.46 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1313.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/13▲38%
31%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲54%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo17.5
Rayo Vallecano77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo4.2
Rayo Vallecano47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo13.3
Rayo Vallecano61.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo7.5
Rayo Vallecano52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo61.2
Rayo Vallecano75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo22.5
Rayo Vallecano82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo16.9
Rayo Vallecano69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.6 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match
48%Possession5/552%
4 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.8 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.1 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.1 shots/match
45.2%Possession10/1053.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/106.1 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
0.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲0.92 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲1.08 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.38 shots/matchShots13/13▲12.7 shots/match
2.92 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.08 shots/match
43.2%Possession13/1353.3%
3.69 corners/matchCorners13/136.15 corners/match
2.62 cards/matchCards13/132.46 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
0.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/8▲1.13 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9 shots/matchShots7/8▲11.5 shots/match
2.57 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲3.63 shots/match
44.1%Possession7/853.4%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/85.25 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/82.38 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/814 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOviedoRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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