PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Celta Vigo 2–4 Barcelona · La Liga

2–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 2–4.

Shots
521
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
0.583.31
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Celta Vigo 4–2. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Barcelona): shots 5–21, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 0.58–3.31, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Barcelona20.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoBarcelonaBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match20.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match8.67 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

51%PossessionCelta Vigo · Barcelona● 67.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoBarcelonaBaseline
Possession51%67.8%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots21 shotsCelta Vigo 5 shots, Barcelona 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsCelta Vigo 3 shots, Barcelona 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG3.31 xGCelta Vigo 0.58 xG, Barcelona 3.31 xG
  • Possession39%61%Celta Vigo 39%, Barcelona 61%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersCelta Vigo 2 corners, Barcelona 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsCelta Vigo 13 fouls, Barcelona 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsCelta Vigo 1 card, Barcelona 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDani Olmo · Barcelona · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 4′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFerran Jutglà · Celta Vigo · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFrenkie de Jong · Barcelona · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · Barcelona · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 73′ · 0.06 xG · goalBorja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.08 xG · goalDani Olmo · Barcelona · 44′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMiguel Román · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalFermín López · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFermín López · Barcelona · 32′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 88′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 11′ · 0.35 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 25′ · 0.38 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 11′ · 0.44 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 37′ · 0.55 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 10′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.57 xG. Barcelona: 21 shots, 9 on target, 3.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Sergio Carreira · Celta Vigo · 11′Borja Iglesias · Celta Vigo · 43′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 10′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 37′Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 0.57 xG · Barcelona 3.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
3Barcelona
Barcelona — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–3
Celta Vigo — Barcelona · La Liga2–2
Celta Vigo — Barcelona · La Liga1–2
Barcelona — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–2
Celta Vigo — Barcelona · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Barcelona in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo12 matchesBarcelona12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 2.14 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 20.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 8.08 shots/match
51%Possession12/12● 67.8%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.83 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards12/122.08 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls12/129.42 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoBarcelona
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Barcelona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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