PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Wed, 27 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoReal Betis
Shots14 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession47%53%●
Corners10 corners/match●4 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3%●PossessionCelta Vigo · Real Betis44.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoReal BetisBaseline
Possession55.3%44.7%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 0 · 13 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/311.7 shots/match
9.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/310.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34 shots/match
55.3%●Possessionseason · 3/344.7%
7.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/34 corners/match
3.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.33 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/311.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo75
Real Betis25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo25
Real Betis75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo58.3
Real Betis41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo25
Real Betis75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo75
Real Betis25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo75
Real Betis25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo50
Real Betis50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo3 matchesReal Betis3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots3/3▲11.7 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲3.67 shots/match
55.3%●Possession3/344.7%
7.67 corners/match●Corners3/34 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo2 matchesReal Betis2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.98 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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