PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 15:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Abanca BalaídosFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCelta VigoVillarreal
Shots10 shots/match▲8 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Possession65%●35%
Corners1 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls11 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Celta Vigo. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersCelta Vigo · Villarreal●7.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoVillarrealBaseline
Corners6 corners/match7.67 corners/match4.17 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Celta Vigo.

3.83 days▲Rest daysCelta Vigo · Villarreal6.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCelta VigoVillarrealBaseline
Rest days3.83 days6.9 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Villarreal17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoVillarrealBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match17.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match
Shots against9.25 shots/match6.67 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0 · 13 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/32.67 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/30.33 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/317.3 shots/match
9.25 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/36.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/36.67 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/32.67 shots/match
57.8%●Possessionseason · 4/352%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/3●7.67 corners/match
3.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/31 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/31 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/38.67 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/367%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo80.6
Villarreal63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo35.2
Villarreal93.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo63.9
Villarreal89.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo13.9
Villarreal97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo65.2
Villarreal9.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo63.9
Villarreal94.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo50.7
Villarreal72.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo4 matchesVillarreal3 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/3▲2.67 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲0.33 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots4/3▲17.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲6.67 shots/match
57.8%●Possession4/352%
6 corners/matchCorners4/3●7.67 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/31 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/38.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo3 matchesVillarreal1 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/1—
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/1—
—Expected goals0/0—
11.7 shots/matchShots3/1—
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/1—
60.3%Possession3/1—
6.67 corners/matchCorners3/1—
1.67 cards/matchCards3/1—
13 fouls/matchFouls3/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCelta VigoVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Celta Vigo vs Villarreal — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath