PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadReal Madrid
Shots23 shots/match▲16 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession64%36%
Corners12 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Real Madrid19.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadReal MadridBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match19.3 shots/match10.9 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match10 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.5 corners/match▲CornersReal Sociedad · Real Madrid6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadReal MadridBaseline
Corners8.5 corners/match6 corners/match4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
17.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/419.3 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/410 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/47 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43 shots/match
57.3%Possessionseason · 4/457.5%
8.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46 corners/match
3.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.5 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.5 cards/match
15.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/49 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad77.5
Real Madrid82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad65.8
Real Madrid91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad39.2
Real Madrid75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad87.5
Real Madrid97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad67.5
Real Madrid18.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad97.5
Real Madrid60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad87.5
Real Madrid65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲19.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲7 shots/match
57.3%Possession4/457.5%
8.5 corners/matchCorners4/46 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/41.5 cards/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲19.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲7 shots/match
57.3%Possession4/457.5%
8.5 corners/matchCorners4/46 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/41.5 cards/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲19.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲7 shots/match
57.3%Possession4/457.5%
8.5 corners/matchCorners4/46 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/41.5 cards/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadReal Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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