UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 16 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeSantiago BernabéuFull-time recap

Real Madrid

2–1Full-time recap

Marseille

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Madrid	Marseille
Shots	28 shots/match▲	15 shots/match
Shots on target	15 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	3.65 xG/match▲	0.73 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%
Corners	9 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Madrid: 28 shots, 15 on target, 3.85 xG. Marseille: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 3.85 xG · Marseille 0.74 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable

Season samples1 / 1home / away teams

Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4