La Liga · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeMetropolitano StadiumFull-time recap

Atletico Madrid

LDD

2–0Full-time recap

Villarreal

WWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atletico Madrid	Villarreal
Shots	8 shots/match	8 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	8 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	15 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Atletico Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.75 corners/match▲CornersAtletico Madrid · Villarreal6.5 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Atletico Madrid	Villarreal	Baseline
Corners	6.75 corners/match	6.5 corners/match	4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Atletico Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8%▲PossessionAtletico Madrid · Villarreal48.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Atletico Madrid	Villarreal	Baseline
Possession	59.8%	48.8%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atletico Madrid favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0 · 14 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.75 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/415 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/47 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

2.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.75 shots/match

59.8%Possessionseason · 4/448.8%

6.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46.5 corners/match

1.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/42.75 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.75 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atletico Madrid92.5

Villarreal42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atletico Madrid65.8

Villarreal86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atletico Madrid82.5

Villarreal85.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atletico Madrid47.5

Villarreal92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid61.2

Villarreal30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid82.5

Villarreal72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atletico Madrid73.8

Villarreal65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲15 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.25 shots/match

59.8%Possession4/448.8%

6.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲15 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.25 shots/match

59.8%Possession4/448.8%

6.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.75 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲15 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.25 shots/match

59.8%Possession4/448.8%

6.75 corners/matchCorners4/46.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards2/2—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.2 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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