PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Santiago BernabéuFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal MadridMallorca
Shots17 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession58%●42%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match●
Fouls12 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.3 shots/match▲ShotsReal Madrid · Mallorca8.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridMallorcaBaseline
Shots20.3 shots/match8.33 shots/match10.5 shots/match
Shots against5.67 shots/match16.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.7%●PossessionReal Madrid · Mallorca40.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridMallorcaBaseline
Possession64.7%40.3%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Madrid
1Draws
1Mallorca
Real Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga2–1
Mallorca — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Mallorca — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Mallorca · La Liga1–0
Mallorca — Real Madrid · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Madrid favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 13 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
20.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/38.33 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/316.3 shots/match
7.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/33.33 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35.67 shots/match
64.7%●Possessionseason · 3/340.3%
6.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/33.67 corners/match
2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.67 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/33 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/39 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Madrid96.4
Mallorca25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Madrid96.4
Mallorca26.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Madrid92.8
Mallorca17.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Madrid96.4
Mallorca39.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid21.4
Mallorca57.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Madrid78.6
Mallorca32.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Madrid74.1
Mallorca26.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Madrid3 matchesMallorca3 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match
0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
20.3 shots/match▲Shots3/38.33 shots/match
7.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match
64.7%●Possession3/340.3%
6.67 corners/match●Corners3/33.67 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/39 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Madrid2 matchesMallorca1 matches
—Goals scored2/1—
—Goals allowed2/1—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/1—
—Shots on target2/1—
—Possession2/1—
—Corners2/1—
—Cards2/1—
—Fouls2/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.19 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal MadridMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match