PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap
0–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGironaSevilla
Shots20 shots/match▲13 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Possession59%●41%
Corners11 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls5 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsGirona · Sevilla12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGironaSevillaBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match10.5 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match14.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 0 · 13 too close

0.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
3.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312.3 shots/match
16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/314.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.33 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.67 shots/match
50%Possessionseason · 3/3●55.3%
4.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 3/33 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/38 corners/match
1 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/31.67 cards/match
7.33 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
33%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona39.3
Sevilla71.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona28.6
Sevilla79.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona17.9
Sevilla32.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona46.4
Sevilla53.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona3.6
Sevilla48.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona60.7
Sevilla25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona35.7
Sevilla56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona3 matchesSevilla3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲1.67 goals/match
3.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲12.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match
50%Possession3/3●55.3%
4.67 corners/match●Corners3/33 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards3/31.67 cards/match
7.33 fouls/matchFouls3/312 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona2 matchesSevilla2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.92 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Aug 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGironaSevilla
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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