RC Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse — Ligue 1 2025/26 Match Stats

Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 3 May 2026, 15:15 UTCStade de la Meinau

RC Strasbourg

DWWLW

1–2Historical match

Toulouse

WLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Toulouse won 1–2.

Shots: 916
Shots on target: 46
Expected goals: 0.411.36
Possession: 54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Toulouse beat Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Strasbourg – Toulouse): shots 9–16, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.41–1.36, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.61 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Toulouse have a visible away split

moderate

Toulouse's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.9 shots/match	12.8 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.8% ●PossessionStrasbourg · Toulouse42.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Strasbourg	Toulouse	Baseline
Possession	53.8%	42.3%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots9 shots16 shotsRC Strasbourg 9 shots, Toulouse 16 shots
Shots on target4 shots6 shotsRC Strasbourg 4 shots, Toulouse 6 shots
Expected goals0.41 xG1.36 xGRC Strasbourg 0.41 xG, Toulouse 1.36 xG
Possession54%46%RC Strasbourg 54%, Toulouse 46%
Corners8 corners3 cornersRC Strasbourg 8 corners, Toulouse 3 corners
Fouls7 fouls15 foulsRC Strasbourg 7 fouls, Toulouse 15 fouls
Yellow cards1 card3 cardsRC Strasbourg 1 card, Toulouse 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Strasbourg: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.33 xG. Toulouse: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 0.33 xG · Toulouse 1.18 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Strasbourg

1Draws

1Toulouse

6 Dec 2025Toulouse — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0

16 Mar 2025RC Strasbourg — Toulouse · Ligue 12–1

12 Jan 2025Toulouse — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–2

7 Apr 2024Toulouse — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–0

27 Aug 2023RC Strasbourg — Toulouse · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Toulouse in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg31 matchesToulouse32 matches

1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/321.41 goals/match

1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/321.41 goals/match

1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/321.3 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots31/32▲ 12.8 shots/match

4.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/324.28 shots/match

53.8% ●Possession31/3242.3%

4.32 corners/matchCorners31/32● 4.38 corners/match

2.16 cards/matchCards25/272.37 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3214.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples31 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded