Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 3 May 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeParc Olympique LyonnaisFull-time recap

Lyon

LDWWW

4–2Full-time recap

Rennes

DWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lyon	Rennes
Shots	17 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.71 xG/match▲	0.77 xG/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	7 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Lyon: 16 shots, 9 on target, 2.78 xG. Rennes: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lyon 2.78 xG · Rennes 0.76 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rennes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rennes's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.6 goals/match	1.75 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.38 corners/match▲CornersLyon · Rennes5.78 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Lyon	Rennes	Baseline
Corners	5.38 corners/match	5.78 corners/match	4.56 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rennes have a visible away split

moderate

Rennes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Lyon

0Draws

1Rennes

14 Sept 2025Rennes — Lyon · Ligue 13–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lyon favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Rennes in 4 · 5 too close

1.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/32▲1.75 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/321.44 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲1.73 xG/match

1.38 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 7/71.47 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/32▲13.8 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3213.1 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/324.94 shots/match

3.81 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/324.19 shots/match

54.4%Possessionseason · 32/3253.6%

5.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/325.78 corners/match

4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/324.69 corners/match

2.19 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/25▲1.92 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3212.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

47%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3231%

84%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3281%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lyon80.6

Rennes69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lyon65.7

Rennes77.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lyon80.6

Rennes46.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lyon19.4

Rennes69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lyon69.4

Rennes34.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lyon72.2

Rennes80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lyon70.1

Rennes70.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.89 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.6 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.6 shots/match

49.6%Possession5/555.6%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.73 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.9 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6 shots/match

53%Possession10/1058.8%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/106.3 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.63 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲1.75 goals/match

1.06 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/321.44 goals/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.73 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots32/32▲13.8 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on target32/324.94 shots/match

54.4%Possession32/3253.6%

5.38 corners/matchCorners32/325.78 corners/match

2.19 cards/matchCards27/251.92 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.88 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.75 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.88 goals/match

1.78 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲2.38 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.6 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.38 shots/match

56.1%Possession16/1652.4%

5.69 corners/matchCorners16/165.19 corners/match

1.85 cards/matchCards13/132.08 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.15 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Rennes's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated corners records

Rennes have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match