PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 2–1 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen won 2–1.

Shots
516
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.261.88
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen beat Zulte Waregem 2–1. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Zulte Waregem): shots 5–16, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.26–1.88, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots16 shotsKV Mechelen 5 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsKV Mechelen 3 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.88 xGKV Mechelen 1.26 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 1.88 xG
  • Possession40%60%KV Mechelen 40%, SV Zulte Waregem 60%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersKV Mechelen 1 corner, SV Zulte Waregem 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsKV Mechelen 13 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsKV Mechelen 1 card, SV Zulte Waregem 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDirk Asare · Zulte Waregem · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDirk Asare · Zulte Waregem · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · Zulte Waregem · 19′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRedouane Halhal · KV Mechelen · 7′ · 0.18 xG · goalJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 54′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKeano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 3′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 45′ · 0.29 xG · on targetBenito Raman · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.36 xG · goalFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 83′ · 0.42 xG · on targetJeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 71′ · 0.70 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.25 xG. Zulte Waregem: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.85 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Redouane Halhal · KV Mechelen · 7′Benito Raman · KV Mechelen · 90′Jeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 1.25 xG · Zulte Waregem 1.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0KV Mechelen
3Draws
2SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–1
SV Zulte Waregem — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–0
KV Mechelen — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–2
SV Zulte Waregem — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–2
KV Mechelen — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen29 matchesSV Zulte Waregem29 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored29/291.38 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.59 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.23 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 12.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target29/294.17 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession29/2947.9%
4.66 corners/match ●Corners29/294.52 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards27/271.7 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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