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Belgian Pro League · 2025Lotto Park

RSC Anderlecht 5–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RSC Anderlecht won 5–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.580.4
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Anderlecht beat OH Leuven 5–1. Recorded in this match (Anderlecht – OH Leuven): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.58–0.4, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

OH Leuven's recent record differs from the season

moderate

OH Leuven's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.9 fouls/matchFoulsAnderlecht · OH Leuven15.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAnderlechtOH LeuvenBaseline
Fouls13.9 fouls/match15.6 fouls/match11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Anderlecht have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.4% ●PossessionAnderlecht · OH Leuven44.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAnderlechtOH LeuvenBaseline
Possession54.4%44.4%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsRSC Anderlecht 14 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsRSC Anderlecht 6 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG0.4 xGRSC Anderlecht 1.58 xG, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.4 xG
  • Possession57%43%RSC Anderlecht 57%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 43%
  • Corners9 corners8 cornersRSC Anderlecht 9 corners, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsRSC Anderlecht 17 fouls, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsRSC Anderlecht 4 cards, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Óscar Gil · OH Leuven · 7′ · 0.01 xG · goalThibaud Verlinden · OH Leuven · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMihajlo Ilić · Anderlecht · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnric Llansana · Anderlecht · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThibaud Verlinden · OH Leuven · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLudwig Augustinsson · Anderlecht · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Stroeykens · Anderlecht · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlay Camara · Anderlecht · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 52′ · 0.06 xG · goalTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 47′ · 0.07 xG · goalChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEwoud Pletinckx · Anderlecht · 29′ · 0.10 xG · goalNoë Dussenne · OH Leuven · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kanate · Anderlecht · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Gil · OH Leuven · 19′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 64′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Anderlecht: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.69 xG. OH Leuven: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ewoud Pletinckx · Anderlecht · 29′Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 47′Mihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 52′Thorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 71′Adriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 90′Óscar Gil · OH Leuven · 7′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Anderlecht 1.69 xG · OH Leuven 0.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RSC Anderlecht
4Draws
0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–0
RSC Anderlecht — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–1
RSC Anderlecht — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RSC Anderlecht favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Oud-Heverlee Leuven in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RSC Anderlecht29 matchesOud-Heverlee Leuven29 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.14 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.52 goals/match
1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.2 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots29/2913.7 shots/match
4.66 shots/matchShots on target29/294.52 shots/match
54.4% ●Possession29/2944.4%
6.45 corners/match ●Corners29/295 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCards27/273.22 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2915.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRSC AnderlechtOud-Heverlee Leuven
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRSC Anderlecht — Oud-Heverlee Leuven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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