PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Easi Arena

RAAL La Louvière 0–2 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen won 0–2.

Shots
76
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.340.65
Possession
27%73%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen beat RAAL La Louvière 2–0. Recorded in this match (RAAL La Louvière – KV Mechelen): shots 7–6, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.34–0.65, possession 27%–73%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RAAL La Louvière's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.54 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.2 shots/match9.54 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

KV Mechelen have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.4%PossessionRAAL La Louvière · KV Mechelen● 50.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreKV MechelenBaseline
Possession36.4%50.2%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

KV Mechelen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

KV Mechelen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.54 shots/match ▲ShotsRAAL La Louvière · KV Mechelen10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRAAL La LouvièreKV MechelenBaseline
Shots9.54 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots6 shotsRAAL La Louvière 7 shots, KV Mechelen 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsRAAL La Louvière 2 shots, KV Mechelen 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.34 xG0.65 xGRAAL La Louvière 0.34 xG, KV Mechelen 0.65 xG
  • Possession27%73%RAAL La Louvière 27%, KV Mechelen 73%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersRAAL La Louvière 4 corners, KV Mechelen 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsRAAL La Louvière 13 fouls, KV Mechelen 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsRAAL La Louvière 1 card, KV Mechelen 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Fredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOwen Maes · RAAL La Louvière · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDarío Benavides · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoël Ito · RAAL La Louvière · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNolan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKeano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 49′ · 0.16 xG · goalKerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 37′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RAAL La Louvière: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.36 xG. KV Mechelen: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kerim Mrabti · KV Mechelen · 37′Keano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RAAL La Louvière 0.36 xG · KV Mechelen 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0RAAL La Louvière
0Draws
1KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League3–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RAAL La Louvière favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RAAL La Louvière28 matchesKV Mechelen28 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.11 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.25 xG/match
9.54 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 10.6 shots/match
2.61 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.04 shots/match
36.4%Possession28/28● 50.2%
4.57 corners/matchCorners28/28● 4.79 corners/match
1.96 cards/matchCards26/262.35 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2810.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRAAL La LouvièreKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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