PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Het Kuipje

KVC Westerlo 2–1 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo won 2–1.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.811.14
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1. Recorded in this match (KVC Westerlo – RAAL La Louvière): shots 14–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.81–1.14, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KVC Westerlo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KVC Westerlo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

KVC Westerlo have recorded the higher season possession share.

50% ●PossessionKVC Westerlo · RAAL La Louvière35.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKVC WesterloRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession50%35.3%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

KVC Westerlo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

KVC Westerlo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsKVC Westerlo · RAAL La Louvière9.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKVC WesterloRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match9.86 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsKVC Westerlo 14 shots, RAAL La Louvière 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsKVC Westerlo 4 shots, RAAL La Louvière 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG1.14 xGKVC Westerlo 0.81 xG, RAAL La Louvière 1.14 xG
  • Possession60%40%KVC Westerlo 60%, RAAL La Louvière 40%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersKVC Westerlo 4 corners, RAAL La Louvière 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsKVC Westerlo 10 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsKVC Westerlo 2 cards, RAAL La Louvière 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTuur Rommens · KVC Westerlo · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Keybus · KVC Westerlo · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoël Ito · RAAL La Louvière · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Piedfort · KVC Westerlo · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdedire Mebude · KVC Westerlo · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoël Ito · RAAL La Louvière · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOwen Maes · RAAL La Louvière · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNorlan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKyan Vaesen · KVC Westerlo · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNorlan Gillot · RAAL La Louvière · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDarío Benavides · RAAL La Louvière · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSami Lahssaini · RAAL La Louvière · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 43′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDarío Benavides · RAAL La Louvière · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 25′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedThierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 38′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 52′ · 0.11 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 3′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 71′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMaxime Pau · RAAL La Louvière · 79′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAdedire Mebude · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalSami Lahssaini · RAAL La Louvière · 51′ · 0.14 xG · on targetPape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 88′ · 0.21 xG · goalMaxence Maisonneuve · KVC Westerlo · 5′ · 0.22 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KVC Westerlo: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.02 xG. RAAL La Louvière: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Maxence Maisonneuve · KVC Westerlo · 5′Adedire Mebude · KVC Westerlo · 90′Pape Fall · RAAL La Louvière · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KVC Westerlo 1.02 xG · RAAL La Louvière 1.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0KVC Westerlo
1Draws
0RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KVC Westerlo favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KVC Westerlo21 matchesRAAL La Louvière21 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.76 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/190.85 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots21/219.86 shots/match
4.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/212.62 shots/match
50% ●Possession21/2135.3%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners21/214.14 corners/match
1.68 cards/matchCards19/191.79 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKVC WesterloRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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