PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Stade Joseph Marien

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2–0 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 2–0.

Shots
89
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
1.090.81
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat Zulte Waregem 2–0. Recorded in this match (Union St. Gilloise – Zulte Waregem): shots 8–9, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 1.09–0.81, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zulte Waregem's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zulte Waregem's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Zulte Waregem show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Zulte Waregem's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsUnion St. Gilloise · Zulte Waregem11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUnion St. GilloiseZulte WaregemBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match11 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against8.45 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.81 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.09 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 0.81 xG
  • Possession42%58%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 42%, SV Zulte Waregem 58%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls6 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 card, SV Zulte Waregem 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeppe Erenbjerg · Zulte Waregem · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerxho Ujka · Zulte Waregem · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerxho Ujka · Zulte Waregem · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerxho Ujka · Zulte Waregem · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarc Giger · Union St. Gilloise · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Niang · Union St. Gilloise · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSerxho Ujka · Zulte Waregem · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · Zulte Waregem · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJakob Kiilerich · Zulte Waregem · 27′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 75′ · 0.15 xG · goalPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 36′ · 0.18 xG · goalMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 10′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedMarc Giger · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.51 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Union St. Gilloise: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.10 xG. Zulte Waregem: 9 shots, 0 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Promise David · Union St. Gilloise · 36′Anan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union St. Gilloise 1.10 xG · Zulte Waregem 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
0Draws
0SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–4
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League4–0
SV Zulte Waregem — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–3
SV Zulte Waregem — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–2
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise20 matchesSV Zulte Waregem20 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.35 goals/match
0.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.45 goals/match
1.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.07 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots20/2011 shots/match
5.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.75 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession20/2047.6%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners20/204.1 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards19/191.68 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — SV Zulte Waregem
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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