PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 1–1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge and Royale Union Saint-Gilloise drew 1–1.

Shots
921
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
1.532.27
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge and Union St. Gilloise drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Union St. Gilloise): shots 9–21, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.53–2.27, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union St. Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union St. Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.76 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Union St. Gilloise show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Union St. Gilloise's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCercle Brugge · Union St. Gilloise15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match8.48 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots21 shotsCercle Brugge 9 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 21 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsCercle Brugge 5 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG2.27 xGCercle Brugge 1.53 xG, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.27 xG
  • Possession36%64%Cercle Brugge 36%, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 64%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersCercle Brugge 4 corners, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsCercle Brugge 11 fouls, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsCercle Brugge 3 cards, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathias Rasmussen · Union St. Gilloise · 17′ · 0.02 xG · goalMathias Rasmussen · Union St. Gilloise · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Rasmussen · Union St. Gilloise · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Smith · Union St. Gilloise · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKamiel Van de Perre · Union St. Gilloise · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKamiel Van de Perre · Union St. Gilloise · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNils De Wilde · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 85′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 55′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 70′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 37′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 39′ · 0.15 xG · on targetPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 37′ · 0.16 xG · on targetPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 11′ · 0.19 xG · on targetRoss Sykes · Union St. Gilloise · 78′ · 0.20 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 12′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 40′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 18′ · 0.42 xG · on targetGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 43′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.59 xG. Union St. Gilloise: 21 shots, 8 on target, 2.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 43′Mathias Rasmussen · Union St. Gilloise · 17′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 1.59 xG · Union St. Gilloise 2.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cercle Brugge
1Draws
2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–0
Cercle Brugge — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–3
Cercle Brugge — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–2
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge21 matchesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise21 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.76 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.57 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.89 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 15.8 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.76 shots/match
50%Possession21/21● 54.6%
4.81 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.62 corners/match
2.05 cards/matchCards20/202.25 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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