PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Cegeka Arena

KRC Genk 1–1 KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KRC Genk and KVC Westerlo drew 1–1.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
3.190.85
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genk and KVC Westerlo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Genk – KVC Westerlo): shots 22–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 3.19–0.85, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genk's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genk's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.42 corners/match ●CornersGenk · KVC Westerlo5.7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGenkKVC WesterloBaseline
Corners6.42 corners/match5.7 corners/match4.68 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Genk show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsGenk · KVC Westerlo16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenkKVC WesterloBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsKRC Genk 22 shots, KVC Westerlo 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsKRC Genk 6 shots, KVC Westerlo 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.19 xG0.85 xGKRC Genk 3.19 xG, KVC Westerlo 0.85 xG
  • Possession68%32%KRC Genk 68%, KVC Westerlo 32%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersKRC Genk 9 corners, KVC Westerlo 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsKRC Genk 13 fouls, KVC Westerlo 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsKRC Genk 0 cards, KVC Westerlo 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Griffin Yow · KVC Westerlo · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmando Lapage · KVC Westerlo · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYaimar Medina · Genk · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · Genk · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · Genk · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJusef Erabi · Genk · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahima Sory Bangoura · Genk · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmando Lapage · KVC Westerlo · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGriffin Yow · KVC Westerlo · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · Genk · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAllahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYira Collins Sor · Genk · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYaimar Medina · Genk · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sory Bangoura · Genk · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 89′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDaan Heymans · Genk · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYira Collins Sor · Genk · 28′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · Genk · 83′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 40′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 83′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRobin Mirisola · Genk · 16′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLucas Mbamba · KVC Westerlo · 90′ · 0.23 xG · on targetGriffin Yow · KVC Westerlo · 13′ · 0.37 xG · goalRobin Mirisola · Genk · 23′ · 0.83 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genk: 21 shots, 5 on target, 2.18 xG. KVC Westerlo: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.85 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Griffin Yow · KVC Westerlo · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genk 2.18 xG · KVC Westerlo 0.85 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KRC Genk
2Draws
0KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League0–1
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–0
KVC Westerlo — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–1
KRC Genk — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · KVC Westerlo in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk19 matchesKVC Westerlo20 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/201.5 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.68 xG/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots19/2016.2 shots/match
5.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/204.8 shots/match
64.4% ●Possession19/2049.5%
6.42 corners/match ●Corners19/205.7 corners/match
1.39 cards/matchCards18/181.67 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls19/2012.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Dec 2025, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkKVC Westerlo
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKRC Genk — KVC Westerlo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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