PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Daio Wasabi Stayen

Sint-Truidense VV 1–0 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sint-Truidense VV won 1–0.

Shots
910
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.550.51
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Truiden beat KV Mechelen 1–0. Recorded in this match (St. Truiden – KV Mechelen): shots 9–10, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.55–0.51, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.35 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

St. Truiden show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

St. Truiden's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsSt. Truiden · KV Mechelen10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSt. TruidenKV MechelenBaseline
Shots14 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsSint-Truidense VV 9 shots, KV Mechelen 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsSint-Truidense VV 5 shots, KV Mechelen 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG0.51 xGSint-Truidense VV 1.55 xG, KV Mechelen 0.51 xG
  • Possession47%53%Sint-Truidense VV 47%, KV Mechelen 53%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersSint-Truidense VV 2 corners, KV Mechelen 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsSint-Truidense VV 12 fouls, KV Mechelen 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsSint-Truidense VV 2 cards, KV Mechelen 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mory Konate · KV Mechelen · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 63′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 68′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommy St Jago · KV Mechelen · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRein Van Helden · St. Truiden · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArbnor Muja · St. Truiden · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMory Konate · KV Mechelen · 78′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 73′ · 0.13 xG · on targetIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 61′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMory Konate · KV Mechelen · 78′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 55′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedRein Van Helden · St. Truiden · 8′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

St. Truiden: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.53 xG. KV Mechelen: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rein Van Helden · St. Truiden · 8′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: St. Truiden 1.53 xG · KV Mechelen 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Sint-Truidense VV
1Draws
0KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–3
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–1
Sint-Truidense VV — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–1
Sint-Truidense VV — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–1
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sint-Truidense VV favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sint-Truidense VV20 matchesKV Mechelen20 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.35 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.1 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.21 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots20/2010.5 shots/match
4.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.05 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession20/2048.7%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners20/205.05 corners/match
1.84 cards/matchCards19/192.42 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSint-Truidense VVKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headSint-Truidense VV — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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