PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Club Brugge KV 2–1 KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 2–1.

Shots
226
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
3.590.77
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat Gent 2–1. Recorded in this match (Club Brugge KV – Gent): shots 22–6, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 3.59–0.77, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gent's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gent's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsClub Brugge KV · Gent13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVGentBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Club Brugge KV have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.2% ●PossessionClub Brugge KV · Gent52.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVGentBaseline
Possession63.2%52.6%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots6 shotsClub Brugge KV 22 shots, KAA Gent 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsClub Brugge KV 3 shots, KAA Gent 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.59 xG0.77 xGClub Brugge KV 3.59 xG, KAA Gent 0.77 xG
  • Possession73%27%Club Brugge KV 73%, KAA Gent 27%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersClub Brugge KV 10 corners, KAA Gent 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsClub Brugge KV 9 fouls, KAA Gent 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsClub Brugge KV 0 cards, KAA Gent 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Carlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Seys · Club Brugge KV · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHyllarion Goore · Gent · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAtsuki Ito · Gent · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMax Dean · Gent · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · Gent · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHugo Vetlesen · Club Brugge KV · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Seys · Club Brugge KV · 10′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBjorn Meijer · Club Brugge KV · 83′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Diakhon · Club Brugge KV · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 12′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ordóñez · Club Brugge KV · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ordóñez · Club Brugge KV · 10′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · Gent · 82′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMaksim Paskotsi · Gent · 52′ · 0.29 xG · goalRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 21′ · 0.32 xG · goalRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 67′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 57′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 70′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 86′ · 0.52 xG · goalCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 26′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Club Brugge KV: 22 shots, 3 on target, 3.60 xG. Gent: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Romeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 21′Nicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 86′Maksim Paskotsi · Gent · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Club Brugge KV 3.60 xG · Gent 0.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Club Brugge KV
2Draws
1KAA Gent
KAA Gent — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League1–1
Club Brugge KV — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League4–1
KAA Gent — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League0–5
KAA Gent — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League1–1
Club Brugge KV — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Club Brugge KV favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · KAA Gent in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Club Brugge KV21 matchesKAA Gent20 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/201.45 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed21/201.45 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.31 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots21/2013.3 shots/match
5.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/204.35 shots/match
63.2% ●Possession21/2052.6%
6.62 corners/match ●Corners21/204.55 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCards19/191.84 cards/match
9.19 fouls/matchFouls21/2010.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsClub Brugge KVKAA Gent
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headClub Brugge KV — KAA Gent
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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