Belgian Pro League · 2025

KV Mechelen 1–1 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen and FCV Dender drew 1–1.

Shots
1417
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
1.061.09
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen and FCV Dender drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – FCV Dender): shots 14–17, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 1.06–1.09, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots17 shotsKV Mechelen 14 shots, FCV Dender 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsKV Mechelen 6 shots, FCV Dender 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG1.09 xGKV Mechelen 1.06 xG, FCV Dender 1.09 xG
  • Possession54%46%KV Mechelen 54%, FCV Dender 46%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersKV Mechelen 5 corners, FCV Dender 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsKV Mechelen 13 fouls, FCV Dender 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Roman Kvet · FCV Dender · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMory Konate · KV Mechelen · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 8′ · 0.02 xG · goalBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaxim Kireev · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 16′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKobe Cools · FCV Dender · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBryan Goncalves · FCV Dender · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKeano Vanrafelghem · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMory Konate · KV Mechelen · 71′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNoah Mbamba · FCV Dender · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 66′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNathan Rodes · FCV Dender · 84′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKobe Cools · FCV Dender · 87′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 58′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 67′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 41′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 7′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 35′ · 0.12 xG · on targetThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 72′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 79′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 83′ · 0.17 xG · on targetDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 61′ · 0.24 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.04 xG. FCV Dender: 17 shots, 9 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Thérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 8′David Toshevski · FCV Dender · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 1.04 xG · FCV Dender 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4KV Mechelen
1Draws
0FCV Dender
FCV Dender — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–3
FCV Dender — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–2
KV Mechelen — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League5–2
KV Mechelen — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League2–1
FCV Dender — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen22 matchesFCV Dender20 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/200.8 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/201.7 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.06 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots22/2010.5 shots/match
4.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/203.9 shots/match
49.2% ●Possession22/2047%
5.05 corners/match ●Corners22/203.2 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2010.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Dec 2025, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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