PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Standard Liège 0–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven won 0–1.

Shots
918
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
0.651.52
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

OH Leuven beat Standard Liege 1–0. Recorded in this match (Standard Liege – OH Leuven): shots 9–18, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 0.65–1.52, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Standard Liege's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Standard Liege's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Standard Liege have a visible home split

moderate

Standard Liege's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.84 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match9.84 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Standard Liege show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Standard Liege's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.84 shots/match ▲ShotsStandard Liege · OH Leuven12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStandard LiegeOH LeuvenBaseline
Shots9.84 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsStandard Liège 9 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsStandard Liège 3 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG1.52 xGStandard Liège 0.65 xG, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.52 xG
  • Possession48%52%Standard Liège 48%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 52%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersStandard Liège 5 corners, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsStandard Liège 13 fouls, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsStandard Liège 2 cards, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 2′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdnane Abid · Standard Liege · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWouter George · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHenry Lawrence · Standard Liege · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDennis Eckert Ayensa · Standard Liege · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoë Dussenne · OH Leuven · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimothé Nkada · Standard Liege · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Epolo · Standard Liege · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNoë Dussenne · OH Leuven · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIbe Hautekiet · Standard Liege · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetÓscar Gil · OH Leuven · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetÓscar Gil · OH Leuven · 38′ · 0.07 xG · on targetŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 46′ · 0.08 xG · on targetŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 52′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDennis Eckert Ayensa · Standard Liege · 31′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Karamoko · Standard Liege · 50′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 73′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 73′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Standard Liege: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.62 xG. OH Leuven: 18 shots, 9 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Sory Kaba · OH Leuven · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Standard Liege 0.62 xG · OH Leuven 1.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Standard Liège
2Draws
3Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–1
Standard Liège — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League0–1
Standard Liège — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Standard Liège favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Oud-Heverlee Leuven in 5 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Standard Liège19 matchesOud-Heverlee Leuven19 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.42 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals18/181.03 xG/match
9.84 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.53 shots/match
44.9% ●Possession19/1944.3%
4.11 corners/matchCorners19/19● 4.26 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards18/183.06 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1916.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Dec 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStandard LiègeOud-Heverlee Leuven
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headStandard Liège — Oud-Heverlee Leuven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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