Belgian Pro League · 2025Den Dreef

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–1 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven and SV Zulte Waregem drew 1–1.

Shots
174
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.290.09
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

OH Leuven and Zulte Waregem drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (OH Leuven – Zulte Waregem): shots 17–4, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.29–0.09, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

OH Leuven's recent record differs from the season

moderate

OH Leuven's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots4 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 17 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotOud-Heverlee Leuven 6 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.29 xG0.09 xGOud-Heverlee Leuven 1.29 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 0.09 xG
  • Possession46%54%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 46%, SV Zulte Waregem 54%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersOud-Heverlee Leuven 4 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsOud-Heverlee Leuven 18 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsOud-Heverlee Leuven 2 cards, SV Zulte Waregem 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thomas Claes · Zulte Waregem · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCasper Terho · OH Leuven · 78′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAbdoul Karim Traoré · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThibaud Verlinden · OH Leuven · 8′ · 0.02 xG · goalBenoit Nyssen · Zulte Waregem · 35′ · 0.02 xG · goalMarley Aké · Zulte Waregem · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasper Terho · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbdoul Karim Traoré · OH Leuven · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · Zulte Waregem · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoggerio Nyakossi · OH Leuven · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Karim Traoré · OH Leuven · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 61′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 25′ · 0.12 xG · on targetYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 61′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 21′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 74′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 24′ · 0.23 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

OH Leuven: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.31 xG. Zulte Waregem: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Thibaud Verlinden · OH Leuven · 8′Benoit Nyssen · Zulte Waregem · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: OH Leuven 1.31 xG · Zulte Waregem 0.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2Draws
1SV Zulte Waregem
SV Zulte Waregem — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League2–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League4–2
SV Zulte Waregem — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League2–5
SV Zulte Waregem — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oud-Heverlee Leuven18 matchesSV Zulte Waregem18 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.39 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.07 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.2 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.94 shots/match
43.9%Possession18/18● 45.7%
4.28 corners/match ●Corners18/184.22 corners/match
3.12 cards/matchCards17/171.71 cards/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1812 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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