PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Achter de Kazerne

KV Mechelen 1–1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KV Mechelen and Royale Union Saint-Gilloise drew 1–1.

Shots
719
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
1.071.44
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

KV Mechelen and Union St. Gilloise drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (KV Mechelen – Union St. Gilloise): shots 7–19, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 1.07–1.44, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union St. Gilloise show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Union St. Gilloise's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · Union St. Gilloise16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match8.67 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

weak

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.8 corners/matchCornersKV Mechelen · Union St. Gilloise● 5.8 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Corners4.8 corners/match5.8 corners/match4.27 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots19 shotsKV Mechelen 7 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 19 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsKV Mechelen 1 shot, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG1.44 xGKV Mechelen 1.07 xG, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.44 xG
  • Possession45%55%KV Mechelen 45%, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 55%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersKV Mechelen 4 corners, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsKV Mechelen 9 fouls, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsKV Mechelen 3 cards, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Promise David · Union St. Gilloise · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGora Diouf · KV Mechelen · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Niang · Union St. Gilloise · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Hammar · KV Mechelen · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 23′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristian Burgess · Union St. Gilloise · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnan Khalaili · Union St. Gilloise · 38′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKevin Mac Allister · Union St. Gilloise · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 85′ · 0.10 xG · goalPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 25′ · 0.14 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 61′ · 0.14 xG · on targetPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 72′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMyron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KV Mechelen: 7 shots, 1 on target, 1.11 xG. Union St. Gilloise: 19 shots, 4 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Myron Van Brederode · KV Mechelen · 90′Raul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KV Mechelen 1.11 xG · Union St. Gilloise 1.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2KV Mechelen
1Draws
2Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–1
KV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–0
KV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League4–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen15 matchesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise15 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.53 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 2 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 6 shots/match
48.5%Possession15/15● 53.9%
4.8 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.8 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards14/142.14 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKV MechelenRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKV Mechelen — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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