PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Lotto Park

RSC Anderlecht 3–1 KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RSC Anderlecht won 3–1.

Shots
197
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.61.11
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Anderlecht beat KV Mechelen 3–1. Recorded in this match (Anderlecht – KV Mechelen): shots 19–7, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.6–1.11, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Anderlecht show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Anderlecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAnderlecht · KV Mechelen10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAnderlechtKV MechelenBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

weak

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Anderlecht have a visible home split

moderate

Anderlecht's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsRSC Anderlecht 19 shots, KV Mechelen 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotRSC Anderlecht 7 shots, KV Mechelen 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.11 xGRSC Anderlecht 1.6 xG, KV Mechelen 1.11 xG
  • Possession44%56%RSC Anderlecht 44%, KV Mechelen 56%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersRSC Anderlecht 9 corners, KV Mechelen 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsRSC Anderlecht 14 fouls, KV Mechelen 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardRSC Anderlecht 1 card, KV Mechelen 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bill Antonio · KV Mechelen · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlay Camara · Anderlecht · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Stroeykens · Anderlecht · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Kana · Anderlecht · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlay Camara · Anderlecht · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThérence Koudou · KV Mechelen · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 4′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 12′ · 0.04 xG · goalLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 60′ · 0.11 xG · goalMathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 20′ · 0.14 xG · goalThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 53′ · 0.16 xG · on targetThorgan Hazard · Anderlecht · 66′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 18′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedMihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 25′ · 0.49 xG · goalLion Lauberbach · KV Mechelen · 70′ · 0.85 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Anderlecht: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.62 xG. KV Mechelen: 7 shots, 1 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Adriano Bertaccini · Anderlecht · 12′Mihajlo Cvetković · Anderlecht · 25′Nilson Angulo · Anderlecht · 60′Mathis Servais · KV Mechelen · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Anderlecht 1.62 xG · KV Mechelen 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RSC Anderlecht
1Draws
1KV Mechelen
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League4–1
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–3
KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League2–2
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1
RSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RSC Anderlecht favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RSC Anderlecht14 matchesKV Mechelen14 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.5 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.21 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.3 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/1410.7 shots/match
5.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.36 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession14/1448.8%
6.43 corners/match ●Corners14/144.86 corners/match
2.69 cards/matchCards13/132.23 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls14/149.71 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRSC AnderlechtKV Mechelen
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headRSC Anderlecht — KV Mechelen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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