PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

Club Brugge KV 2–1 FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Club Brugge KV won 2–1.

Shots
1914
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.830.52
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Club Brugge KV beat FCV Dender 2–1. Recorded in this match (Club Brugge KV – FCV Dender): shots 19–14, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.83–0.52, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.46 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Club Brugge KV show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Club Brugge KV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsClub Brugge KV · FCV Dender10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVFCV DenderBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Club Brugge KV have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.7% ●PossessionClub Brugge KV · FCV Dender46.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricClub Brugge KVFCV DenderBaseline
Possession62.7%46.3%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots14 shotsClub Brugge KV 19 shots, FCV Dender 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsClub Brugge KV 5 shots, FCV Dender 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.52 xGClub Brugge KV 0.83 xG, FCV Dender 0.52 xG
  • Possession67%33%Club Brugge KV 67%, FCV Dender 33%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersClub Brugge KV 7 corners, FCV Dender 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsClub Brugge KV 10 fouls, FCV Dender 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedShandre Campbell · Club Brugge KV · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJunior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ · FCV Dender · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrandon Mechele · Club Brugge KV · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Stanković · Club Brugge KV · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMalcolm Viltard · FCV Dender · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCarlos Forbs · Club Brugge KV · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDesmond Acquah · FCV Dender · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKyriani Sabbe · Club Brugge KV · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ · FCV Dender · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHans Vanaken · Club Brugge KV · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 6′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 29′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRomeo Vermant · Club Brugge KV · 47′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 65′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 17′ · 0.14 xG · goalChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 29′ · 0.15 xG · goalNicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 56′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 85′ · 0.29 xG · on targetChristos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 50′ · 0.64 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Club Brugge KV: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.97 xG. FCV Dender: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nicolò Tresoldi · Club Brugge KV · 17′Christos Tzolis · Club Brugge KV · 29′Mohamed Berte · FCV Dender · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Club Brugge KV 1.97 xG · FCV Dender 0.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Club Brugge KV
0Draws
0FCV Dender
Club Brugge KV — FCV Dender · Belgian Pro League4–1
FCV Dender — Club Brugge KV · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Club Brugge KV favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FCV Dender in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Club Brugge KV14 matchesFCV Dender13 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/130.46 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/131.62 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.98 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots14/1310.1 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/133.69 shots/match
62.7% ●Possession14/1346.3%
6.93 corners/match ●Corners14/133.08 corners/match
9.86 fouls/matchFouls14/1310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsClub Brugge KVFCV Dender
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headClub Brugge KV — FCV Dender
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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