PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025

FCV Dender 2–2 SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FCV Dender and SV Zulte Waregem drew 2–2.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.70.75
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

FCV Dender and SV Zulte Waregem drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FCV Dender – SV Zulte Waregem): shots 15–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.7–0.75, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FCV Dender's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FCV Dender's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsFCV Dender 15 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFCV Dender 4 shots, SV Zulte Waregem 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG0.75 xGFCV Dender 1.7 xG, SV Zulte Waregem 0.75 xG
  • Possession52%48%FCV Dender 52%, SV Zulte Waregem 48%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersFCV Dender 6 corners, SV Zulte Waregem 5 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls16 foulsFCV Dender 5 fouls, SV Zulte Waregem 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeppe Erenbjerg · SV Zulte Waregem · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Fredrick · FCV Dender · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnosike Ementa · SV Zulte Waregem · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 67′ · 0.02 xG · goalAlireza Jahanbakhsh · FCV Dender · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Attah Kadiri · FCV Dender · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · SV Zulte Waregem · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · SV Zulte Waregem · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenoit Nyssen · SV Zulte Waregem · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmran Soglo · SV Zulte Waregem · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFabio Ferraro · FCV Dender · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRoman Kvet · FCV Dender · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJeppe Erenbjerg · SV Zulte Waregem · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoseph Opoku · SV Zulte Waregem · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnosike Ementa · SV Zulte Waregem · 59′ · 0.09 xG · goalSerxho Ujka · SV Zulte Waregem · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 34′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJakob Kiilerich · SV Zulte Waregem · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDavid Toshevski · FCV Dender · 54′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJunior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ · FCV Dender · 36′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLuc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 86′ · 0.18 xG · goalBruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 13′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FCV Dender: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.71 xG. SV Zulte Waregem: 13 shots, 3 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bruny Nsimba · FCV Dender · 13′Luc Marijnissen · FCV Dender · 86′Anosike Ementa · SV Zulte Waregem · 59′Marley Aké · SV Zulte Waregem · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FCV Dender 1.71 xG · SV Zulte Waregem 0.74 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FCV Dender favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · SV Zulte Waregem in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FCV Dender14 matchesSV Zulte Waregem15 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored14/15▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/15▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.15 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots14/15▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target14/15▲ 4.4 shots/match
46.7% ●Possession14/1546.5%
3.29 corners/matchCorners14/15● 4.27 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1512 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFCV DenderSV Zulte Waregem
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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