PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Standard Liège 3–1 RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Standard Liège won 3–1.

Shots
812
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.371.75
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Standard Liege beat Charleroi 3–1. Recorded in this match (Standard Liege – Charleroi): shots 8–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.37–1.75, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Charleroi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charleroi's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Standard Liege show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Standard Liege's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.71 shots/match ▲ShotsStandard Liege · Charleroi10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStandard LiegeCharleroiBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsStandard Liège 8 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsStandard Liège 5 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.75 xGStandard Liège 1.37 xG, RC Sporting Charleroi 1.75 xG
  • Possession42%58%Standard Liège 42%, RC Sporting Charleroi 58%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersStandard Liège 4 corners, RC Sporting Charleroi 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsStandard Liège 10 fouls, RC Sporting Charleroi 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsStandard Liège 2 cards, RC Sporting Charleroi 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 50′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLéandre Kuavita · Standard Liege · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEtienne Camara · Charleroi · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFilip Szymczak · Charleroi · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIbrahim Karamoko · Standard Liege · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Colassin · Charleroi · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 58′ · 0.08 xG · goalAntoine Colassin · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 40′ · 0.10 xG · goalIbrahim Karamoko · Standard Liege · 87′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 35′ · 0.14 xG · on targetMo El Hankouri · Standard Liege · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFilip Szymczak · Charleroi · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMardochee Nzita · Standard Liege · 26′ · 0.24 xG · goalJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 51′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedThomas Henry · Standard Liege · 47′ · 0.27 xG · goalCasper Nielsen · Standard Liege · 26′ · 0.32 xG · on targetRafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 34′ · 0.35 xG · on targetAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 10′ · 0.37 xG · on targetJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 38′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Standard Liege: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.60 xG. Charleroi: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mardochee Nzita · Standard Liege · 26′Thomas Henry · Standard Liege · 47′Rafiki Saïd · Standard Liege · 58′Parfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 40′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Standard Liege 1.60 xG · Charleroi 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Standard Liège
2Draws
2RC Sporting Charleroi
Standard Liège — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League0–1
RC Sporting Charleroi — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–1
Standard Liège — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–1
Standard Liège — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Standard Liège favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · RC Sporting Charleroi in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Standard Liège14 matchesRC Sporting Charleroi14 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.5 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.05 xG/match
9.71 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 10.5 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4 shots/match
44.1%Possession14/14● 47.9%
4.14 corners/match ●Corners14/144.07 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards13/132.46 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Oct 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStandard LiègeRC Sporting Charleroi
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headStandard Liège — RC Sporting Charleroi
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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