PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 2–2 KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cercle Brugge and KRC Genk drew 2–2.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.591.88
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cercle Brugge and Genk drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Genk): shots 18–16, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.59–1.88, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genk show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Genk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCercle Brugge · Genk17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeGenkBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Genk's recent record differs from the season

weak

Genk's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Genk have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.3%PossessionCercle Brugge · Genk● 63.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeGenkBaseline
Possession47.3%63.3%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsCercle Brugge 18 shots, KRC Genk 16 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsCercle Brugge 7 shots, KRC Genk 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.59 xG1.88 xGCercle Brugge 2.59 xG, KRC Genk 1.88 xG
  • Possession37%63%Cercle Brugge 37%, KRC Genk 63%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersCercle Brugge 4 corners, KRC Genk 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsCercle Brugge 10 fouls, KRC Genk 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsCercle Brugge 3 cards, KRC Genk 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrik Hrošovský · Genk · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJarne Steuckers · Genk · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYaimar Medina · Genk · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKen Nkuba · Genk · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJarne Steuckers · Genk · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Karetsas · Genk · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEmmanuel Kakou · Cercle Brugge · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJarne Steuckers · Genk · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 47′ · 0.13 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 6′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedYaimar Medina · Genk · 60′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 85′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 43′ · 0.19 xG · goalYaimar Medina · Genk · 58′ · 0.22 xG · on targetYira Collins Sor · Genk · 7′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 23′ · 0.37 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 57′ · 0.38 xG · goalPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 13′ · 0.39 xG · goalEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 68′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.64 xG. Genk: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Alan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 43′Edan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 68′Patrik Hrošovský · Genk · 13′Hyeon-gyu Oh · Genk · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 2.64 xG · Genk 1.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cercle Brugge
2Draws
2KRC Genk
KRC Genk — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–1
Cercle Brugge — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–3
Cercle Brugge — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League4–1
KRC Genk — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
KRC Genk — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · KRC Genk in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge12 matchesKRC Genk12 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.39 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 17.3 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.92 shots/match
47.3%Possession12/12● 63.3%
4.25 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards11/111.91 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeKRC Genk
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — KRC Genk
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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