Belgian Pro League · 2025Het Kuipje

KVC Westerlo 2–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo won 2–0.

Shots
178
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.530.85
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo beat OH Leuven 2–0. Recorded in this match (KVC Westerlo – OH Leuven): shots 17–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.53–0.85, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

OH Leuven's recent record differs from the season

moderate

OH Leuven's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsKVC Westerlo · OH Leuven16.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKVC WesterloOH LeuvenBaseline
Fouls12.4 fouls/match16.7 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsKVC Westerlo 17 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsKVC Westerlo 5 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.53 xG0.85 xGKVC Westerlo 2.53 xG, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.85 xG
  • Possession52%48%KVC Westerlo 52%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 48%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersKVC Westerlo 6 corners, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls27 foulsKVC Westerlo 13 fouls, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsKVC Westerlo 2 cards, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Allahyar Sayyadmanesh · KVC Westerlo · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTakahiro Akimoto · OH Leuven · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSiebe Schrijvers · OH Leuven · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEwoud Pletinckx · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDoğucan Haspolat · KVC Westerlo · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSeiji Kimura · KVC Westerlo · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmin Bayram · KVC Westerlo · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 6′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Keybus · KVC Westerlo · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsa Sakamoto · KVC Westerlo · 45′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAdedire Mebude · KVC Westerlo · 84′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 56′ · 0.17 xG · on targetCasper Terho · OH Leuven · 45′ · 0.23 xG · on targetNacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 19′ · 0.29 xG · goalKyan Vaesen · KVC Westerlo · 84′ · 0.46 xG · on targetCasper Terho · OH Leuven · 24′ · 0.55 xG · on targetJosimar Alcócer · KVC Westerlo · 58′ · 0.59 xG · on targetAdedire Mebude · KVC Westerlo · 77′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

KVC Westerlo: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.92 xG. OH Leuven: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Nacho Ferri · KVC Westerlo · 19′Adedire Mebude · KVC Westerlo · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: KVC Westerlo 2.92 xG · OH Leuven 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2KVC Westerlo
3Draws
0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–2
KVC Westerlo — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League2–2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–0
KVC Westerlo — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KVC Westerlo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Oud-Heverlee Leuven in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KVC Westerlo10 matchesOud-Heverlee Leuven11 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/110.82 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/11▲ 1.73 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/100.93 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/1111.7 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/113.82 shots/match
46.5% ●Possession10/1145.5%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners10/114.73 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards10/103.3 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1116.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 21:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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