PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Den Dreef

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–1 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven and RSC Anderlecht drew 1–1.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.810.7
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

OH Leuven and Anderlecht drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (OH Leuven – Anderlecht): shots 17–10, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.81–0.7, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Anderlecht's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Anderlecht's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Anderlecht.

6.2 days ▲Rest daysOH Leuven · Anderlecht3.01 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOH LeuvenAnderlechtBaseline
Rest days6.2 days3.01 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Anderlecht have a visible away split

moderate

Anderlecht's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 17 shots, RSC Anderlecht 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsOud-Heverlee Leuven 8 shots, RSC Anderlecht 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG0.7 xGOud-Heverlee Leuven 1.81 xG, RSC Anderlecht 0.7 xG
  • Possession39%61%Oud-Heverlee Leuven 39%, RSC Anderlecht 61%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersOud-Heverlee Leuven 2 corners, RSC Anderlecht 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls7 foulsOud-Heverlee Leuven 16 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsOud-Heverlee Leuven 4 cards, RSC Anderlecht 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Łukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSiebe Schrijvers · OH Leuven · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan De Cat · Anderlecht · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Vázquez · Anderlecht · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakahiro Akimoto · OH Leuven · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Maziz · OH Leuven · 80′ · 0.02 xG · goalÓscar Gil · OH Leuven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathieu Maertens · OH Leuven · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMoussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Ndiaye · Anderlecht · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTristan Degreef · Anderlecht · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakahiro Akimoto · OH Leuven · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetŁukasz Łakomy · OH Leuven · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCasper Terho · OH Leuven · 19′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNathan-Dylan Saliba · Anderlecht · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKillian Sardella · Anderlecht · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · OH Leuven · 1′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Karim Traoré · OH Leuven · 66′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSory Kaba · OH Leuven · 82′ · 0.26 xG · on targetLuis Vázquez · Anderlecht · 55′ · 0.42 xG · goalÓscar Gil · OH Leuven · 36′ · 0.72 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

OH Leuven: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.82 xG. Anderlecht: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Youssef Maziz · OH Leuven · 80′Luis Vázquez · Anderlecht · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: OH Leuven 1.82 xG · Anderlecht 0.84 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3Draws
2RSC Anderlecht
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–0
RSC Anderlecht — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–1
RSC Anderlecht — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League5–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oud-Heverlee Leuven10 matchesRSC Anderlecht10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.9 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.56 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.2 shots/match
45.3%Possession10/10● 54.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6 corners/match
3.44 cards/matchCards9/93 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOud-Heverlee LeuvenRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headOud-Heverlee Leuven — RSC Anderlecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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