Burnley
Premier League · 2025Burnley 1–1 Nottingham Forest · Premier League
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Burnley and Nottingham Forest drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 12–17
- Shots on target
- 5–8
- Possession
- 37%–63%
Full time
What the match recorded
Burnley and Nottingham Forest drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Burnley – Nottingham Forest): shots 12–17, shots on target 5–8, possession 37%–63%, corners 4–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Nottingham Forest show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateNottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Burnley | Nottingham Forest | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 8.4 shots/match | 10.6 shots/match | 11 shots/match |
| Shots against | 19 shots/match | 11.6 shots/match | 10.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateNottingham Forest have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Burnley | Nottingham Forest | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 33.8% | 55.8% | 49.4% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Burnley favored in 2 of 9 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 4 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Burnley / Nottingham Forest
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
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