Serie A · 2025Sat, 23 May 2026, 16:00 UTCFull timeStadio Renato Dall'AraFull-time recap

Bologna

LLDWW

3–3Full-time recap

Inter

WDWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bologna	Inter
Shots	11 shots/match	11 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.18 xG/match	1.59 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	1 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	17.1 shots/match	11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match▲ShotsBologna · Inter17.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bologna	Inter	Baseline
Shots	12.8 shots/match	17.1 shots/match	11.7 shots/match
Shots against	10.2 shots/match	9.11 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Bologna

0Draws

1Inter

4 Jan 2026Inter — Bologna · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bologna favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 11 · 2 too close

1.29 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 38/38▲2.34 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 38/38▲0.92 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/10▲1.6 xG/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 10/101.32 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 38/38▲17.1 shots/match

10.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 38/38▲9.11 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 38/38▲6.03 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 38/38▲2.92 shots/match

55.1%Possessionseason · 38/3859.8%

4.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 38/386.34 corners/match

4.21 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 38/38▲2.87 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲1.62 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 38/3813.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

32%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 38/38▲47%

71%Scoring frequencyseason · 38/38▲95%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bologna67.5

Inter92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bologna52.5

Inter95.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bologna67.5

Inter87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bologna22.5

Inter92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bologna62.5

Inter35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bologna62.5

Inter97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bologna55

Inter86.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

0.85 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.8 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

54.6%Possession5/561.8%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.5 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.6 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match

3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.2 shots/match

54.5%Possession10/1057.9%

3.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

38 / 38 matches

1.29 goals/matchGoals scored38/38▲2.34 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲0.92 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.6 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots38/38▲17.1 shots/match

3.74 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲6.03 shots/match

55.1%Possession38/3859.8%

4.45 corners/matchCorners38/386.34 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards29/291.62 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲2.05 goals/match

1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲1 goals/match

1.07 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.26 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots19/19▲16 shots/match

3.68 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲5.21 shots/match

56.5%Possession19/1959.6%

5.16 corners/matchCorners19/195.32 corners/match

1.71 cards/matchCards14/151.6 cards/match

12.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.12 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples38 / 38home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 May 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Inter's recent record differs from the season

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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