Serie A · 2025Mon, 11 May 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio Diego Armando MaradonaFull-time recap

Napoli

WDLWD

2–3Full-time recap

Bologna

WWLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Napoli	Bologna
Shots	14 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	0.75 xG/match	1.32 xG/match▲
Possession	52%	48%
Corners	7 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bologna's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Napoli

0Draws

1Bologna

9 Nov 2025Bologna — Napoli · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Napoli favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 0 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 36/361.25 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 36/361.19 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/80.98 xG/match

0.86 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/81.12 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/3612.9 shots/match

10.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/3610.2 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 36/363.72 shots/match

3.06 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 36/363.78 shots/match

58.2%Possessionseason · 36/3655.4%

5.47 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/364.53 corners/match

2.81 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 36/364.31 corners/match

1.5 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/292.17 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3613.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3631%

78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Napoli87.5

Bologna72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Napoli76.7

Bologna51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Napoli75.8

Bologna67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Napoli17.5

Bologna37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Napoli12.5

Bologna62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Napoli87.5

Bologna67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Napoli64.4

Bologna56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

1.18 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.95 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match

58.4%Possession5/556.6%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.1 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.98 xG/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.1 shots/match

4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match

61.1%Possession10/1057.2%

6.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match

—Cards2/32.33 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored36/361.25 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed36/361.19 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.98 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots36/3612.9 shots/match

4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target36/363.72 shots/match

58.2%Possession36/3655.4%

5.47 corners/matchCorners36/364.53 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards28/292.17 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls36/3613.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181.61 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/181.28 goals/match

1.23 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.92 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots18/1811.1 shots/match

5.22 shots/match▲Shots on target18/183.72 shots/match

58.4%Possession18/1853.6%

6.39 corners/matchCorners18/183.67 corners/match

1.15 cards/matchCards13/152.6 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1814 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.34 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples36 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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