Serie A · 2025Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

Lazio

DLWWW

1–1Full-time recap

Parma

WDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Lazio	Parma
Shots	7 shots/match	7 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.4 xG/match	0.44 xG/match▲
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	7 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Parma's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Parma's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.2 shots/match	11.1 shots/match	11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Lazio

0Draws

0Parma

13 Dec 2025Parma — Lazio · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Lazio favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Parma in 1 · 8 too close

1.03 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 31/310.71 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/311.26 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/30.43 xG/match

0.9 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/30.91 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3111.1 shots/match

13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3114 shots/match

3.81 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/312.84 shots/match

4.23 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/314.26 shots/match

50.6%Possessionseason · 31/3144.9%

3.74 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/313.94 corners/match

3.97 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/314.45 corners/match

2.3 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/28▲1.93 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3111.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3132%

55%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Lazio52.5

Parma27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Lazio36.7

Parma21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Lazio47.5

Parma34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Lazio7.5

Parma57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Lazio43.8

Parma25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Lazio17.5

Parma37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Lazio26.2

Parma26.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.43 xG/match

9.6 shots/matchShots5/59.2 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match

50.8%Possession5/548%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

7.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.43 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.2 shots/match

3.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103 shots/match

51.5%Possession10/1048.8%

3.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.2 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards6/71.43 cards/match

8.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

1.03 goals/match▲Goals scored31/310.71 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/311.26 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.43 xG/match

10.9 shots/matchShots31/3111.1 shots/match

3.81 shots/match▲Shots on target31/312.84 shots/match

50.6%Possession31/3144.9%

3.74 corners/matchCorners31/313.94 corners/match

2.3 cards/matchCards27/281.93 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.69 goals/match

1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.13 goals/match

1.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.1 shots/match▲Shots16/169.69 shots/match

4.38 shots/match▲Shots on target16/162.81 shots/match

50.3%Possession16/1643%

4.56 corners/matchCorners16/163.56 corners/match

2.62 cards/matchCards13/142 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Parma's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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