PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Olimpico

Lazio 1–1 Parma · Serie A

Lazio

DLWWW
1–1Historical match

Parma

WDDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio and Parma drew 1–1.

Shots
77
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.40.44
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio and Parma drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Parma): shots 7–7, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.4–0.44, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots7 shotsLazio 7 shots, Parma 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsLazio 3 shots, Parma 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG0.44 xGLazio 0.4 xG, Parma 0.44 xG
  • Possession61%39%Lazio 61%, Parma 39%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersLazio 7 corners, Parma 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsLazio 12 fouls, Parma 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsLazio 1 card, Parma 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alessio Romagnoli · Lazio · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Bernabé · Parma · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlessandro Circati · Parma · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKenneth Taylor · Lazio · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Parma · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Parma · 60′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDaniel Maldini · Lazio · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Noslin · Lazio · 77′ · 0.09 xG · goalEmanuele Valeri · Parma · 44′ · 0.11 xG · on targetManuel Lazzari · Lazio · 67′ · 0.11 xG · on targetEnrico Del Prato · Parma · 15′ · 0.13 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.39 xG. Parma: 7 shots, 4 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Tijjani Noslin · Lazio · 77′Enrico Del Prato · Parma · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 0.39 xG · Parma 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lazio
1Draws
1Parma
Parma — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Lazio — Parma · Serie A2–2
Parma — Lazio · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Parma in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio31 matchesParma31 matches
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.71 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.26 goals/match
1.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/310.84 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots31/3111.2 shots/match
3.81 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/312.84 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession31/3145%
3.74 corners/matchCorners31/31● 3.94 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards27/281.93 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioParma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headLazio — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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