PitchMath
Serie A · 2025MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo 2–1 Cagliari · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sassuolo won 2–1.

Shots
911
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.471.63
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sassuolo beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sassuolo – Cagliari): shots 9–11, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.47–1.63, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sassuolo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsSassuolo 9 shots, Cagliari 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsSassuolo 2 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG1.63 xGSassuolo 0.47 xG, Cagliari 1.63 xG
  • Possession50%50%Sassuolo 50%, Cagliari 50%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersSassuolo 2 corners, Cagliari 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsSassuolo 14 fouls, Cagliari 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsSassuolo 1 card, Cagliari 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarryl Bakola · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Walukiewicz · Sassuolo · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedM'Bala Nzola · Sassuolo · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYerry Mina · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDomenico Berardi · Sassuolo · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedUlisses Garcia · Sassuolo · 50′ · 0.06 xG · goalIsmael Koné · Sassuolo · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDomenico Berardi · Sassuolo · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 78′ · 0.10 xG · goalAlessandro Deiola · Cagliari · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 3′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAdam Obert · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 15′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 31′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG. Cagliari: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ulisses Garcia · Sassuolo · 50′Andrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 78′Sebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 0.48 xG · Cagliari 1.69 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sassuolo
1Draws
3Cagliari
Cagliari — Sassuolo · Serie A1–2
Sassuolo — Cagliari · Serie A0–2
Cagliari — Sassuolo · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Sassuolo · Serie A1–0
Sassuolo — Cagliari · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo31 matchesCagliari31 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.03 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.42 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/310.91 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots31/3110.1 shots/match
3.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.26 shots/match
44.9%Possession31/31● 46.2%
3.9 corners/match ●Corners31/313.39 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards27/292.52 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3114.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSassuoloCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headSassuolo — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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