PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeMAPEI Stadium - Città del TricoloreFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloCagliari
Shots9 shots/match11 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match3 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.46 xG/match1.63 xG/match▲
Possession49%51%
Corners2 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sassuolo's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sassuolo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sassuolo
0Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Sassuolo · Serie A1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Cagliari in 2 · 7 too close

1.23 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 31/311.03 goals/match
1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/311.42 goals/match
0.54 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31.1 xG/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/31.57 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3110 shots/match
14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/31▲13.2 shots/match
3.68 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/313.26 shots/match
5.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/31▲4.74 shots/match
44.8%Possessionseason · 31/3146.2%
3.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/313.39 corners/match
4.74 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/315.29 corners/match
2.3 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/292.52 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3114.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3119%
68%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3165%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo22.5
Cagliari42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo39.2
Cagliari22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo22.5
Cagliari26.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo22.5
Cagliari7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo51.2
Cagliari95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 94%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo32.5
Cagliari7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo28.8
Cagliari35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
0.54 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲1.1 xG/match
7.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲10.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
42.2%Possession5/548.6%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
—Cards1/34 cards/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
0.54 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲1.1 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots10/109.9 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
43.6%Possession10/1048.3%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.5 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/82.88 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
1.23 goals/match▲Goals scored31/311.03 goals/match
1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/311.42 goals/match
0.54 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲1.1 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots31/3110 shots/match
3.68 shots/match▲Shots on target31/313.26 shots/match
44.8%Possession31/3146.2%
3.9 corners/matchCorners31/313.39 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards27/292.52 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls31/3114.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
1.19 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
—Expected goals2/2—
10.3 shots/matchShots16/1610.5 shots/match
3.56 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.38 shots/match
45.9%Possession16/1646.4%
3.94 corners/matchCorners16/163.06 corners/match
2.21 cards/matchCards14/152.87 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSassuoloCagliari
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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