PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina 1–1 Inter · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Inter

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina and Inter drew 1–1.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.281.32
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina and Inter drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Inter): shots 16–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.28–1.32, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2.2 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Inter18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaInterBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match18 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match8.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Fiorentina have a visible home split

moderate

Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsFiorentina 16 shots, Inter 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsFiorentina 6 shots, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.28 xG1.32 xGFiorentina 2.28 xG, Inter 1.32 xG
  • Possession40%60%Fiorentina 40%, Inter 60%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersFiorentina 3 corners, Inter 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsFiorentina 16 fouls, Inter 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsFiorentina 3 cards, Inter 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Dimarco · Inter · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDodô · Fiorentina · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYann Bisseck · Inter · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Fiorentina · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Inter · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Fiorentina · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetManuel Akanji · Inter · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDavide Frattesi · Inter · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 4′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 19′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 73′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Fiorentina · 21′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 29′ · 0.50 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 1′ · 0.53 xG · goalCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 77′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.33 xG. Inter: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Cher Ndour · Fiorentina · 77′Francesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 1′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 2.33 xG · Inter 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fiorentina
0Draws
4Inter
Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A3–0
Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A2–1
Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A3–0
Fiorentina — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Fiorentina · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina30 matchesInter30 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.2 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.92 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 18 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 6.1 shots/match
52.7%Possession30/30● 60.4%
4.67 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.7 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards28/281.64 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headFiorentina — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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