Serie A · 2025Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa 2–1 Roma · Serie A

Genoa

LLDWL
2–1Historical match

Roma

LWDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 2–1.

Shots
118
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.750.35
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat AS Roma 2–1. Recorded in this match (Genoa – AS Roma): shots 11–8, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.75–0.35, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Roma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Roma have a visible away split

moderate

AS Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsGenoa · AS Roma13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGenoaAS RomaBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match9.54 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsGenoa 11 shots, Roma 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotGenoa 5 shots, Roma 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.75 xG0.35 xGGenoa 2.75 xG, Roma 0.35 xG
  • Possession36%64%Genoa 36%, Roma 64%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersGenoa 3 corners, Roma 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsGenoa 11 fouls, Roma 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsGenoa 1 card, Roma 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Devyne Rensch · AS Roma · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJunior Messias · Genoa · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrizio Masini · Genoa · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedManu Koné · AS Roma · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Cristante · AS Roma · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikael Ellertsson · Genoa · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Genoa · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Mancini · AS Roma · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · AS Roma · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEvan Ndicka · AS Roma · 55′ · 0.08 xG · goalJunior Messias · Genoa · 24′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 53′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 90′ · 0.53 xG · on targetJunior Messias · Genoa · 52′ · 0.82 xG · goalVitinha · Genoa · 80′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 11 shots, 5 on target, 2.72 xG. AS Roma: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Junior Messias · Genoa · 52′Vitinha · Genoa · 80′Evan Ndicka · AS Roma · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 2.72 xG · AS Roma 0.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Genoa
1Draws
3Roma
Roma — Genoa · Serie A3–1
Roma — Genoa · Serie A3–1
Genoa — Roma · Serie A1–1
Roma — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Roma · Serie A4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa28 matchesRoma28 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.37 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.64 shots/match
47.2%Possession28/28● 57.1%
3.54 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.07 corners/match
1.96 cards/matchCards28/281.89 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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