PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna 1–2 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Bologna

LLWWW
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona won 1–2.

Shots
1915
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.281.98
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona beat Bologna 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Hellas Verona): shots 19–15, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.28–1.98, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.32 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna have a visible home split

moderate

Bologna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3% ●PossessionBologna · Hellas Verona40.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession55.3%40.3%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots15 shotsBologna 19 shots, Hellas Verona 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsBologna 2 shots, Hellas Verona 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG1.98 xGBologna 1.28 xG, Hellas Verona 1.98 xG
  • Possession68%32%Bologna 68%, Hellas Verona 32%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBologna 5 corners, Hellas Verona 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls20 foulsBologna 5 fouls, Hellas Verona 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBologna 1 card, Hellas Verona 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gift Orban · Hellas Verona · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartin Frese · Hellas Verona · 53′ · 0.02 xG · goalGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKieron Bowie · Hellas Verona · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Moro · Bologna · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKieron Bowie · Hellas Verona · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrias Edmundsson · Hellas Verona · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenjamín Domínguez · Bologna · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNadir Zortea · Bologna · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Nelsson · Hellas Verona · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bernardeschi · Bologna · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 25′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJonathan Rowe · Bologna · 49′ · 0.13 xG · goalRoberto Gagliardini · Hellas Verona · 29′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Hellas Verona · 29′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Hellas Verona · 27′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 90′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedKieron Bowie · Hellas Verona · 30′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blockedKieron Bowie · Hellas Verona · 57′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 19 shots, 2 on target, 1.29 xG. Hellas Verona: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jonathan Rowe · Bologna · 49′Martin Frese · Hellas Verona · 53′Kieron Bowie · Hellas Verona · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.29 xG · Hellas Verona 2.06 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Bologna
1Draws
1Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A2–3
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–3
Bologna — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0
Hellas Verona — Bologna · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna28 matchesHellas Verona28 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.79 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.75 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/280.98 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots28/2810.9 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target28/283.79 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession28/2840.3%
4.64 corners/match ●Corners28/283.68 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards28/282.36 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2815.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBolognaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headBologna — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required