PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStadio OlimpicoFull-time recap

AS Roma

WDLWD
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAS RomaCremonese
Shots23 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners9 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cremonese show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Cremonese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsAS Roma · Cremonese8.85 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS RomaCremoneseBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match8.85 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against9.35 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

AS Roma have a visible home split

moderate

AS Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1AS Roma
0Draws
0Cremonese
Cremonese — AS Roma · Serie A1–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AS Roma favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Cremonese in 0 · 4 too close

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/260.81 goals/match
0.62 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/261.38 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/268.85 shots/match
9.35 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2617.3 shots/match
4.77 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/263.12 shots/match
3.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 26/265.65 shots/match
57.2%Possessionseason · 26/2644.9%
5.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/263.19 corners/match
3.04 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/266.77 corners/match
1.88 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/262.04 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2613 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2627%
73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AS Roma87.5
Cremonese27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AS Roma74.2
Cremonese14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AS Roma88.3
Cremonese12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AS Roma37.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AS Roma60
Cremonese51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AS Roma82.5
Cremonese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AS Roma82.5
Cremonese17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
54.4%Possession5/541.4%
5.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.3 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shots10/109.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/102.9 shots/match
56.4%Possession10/1043.1%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/102.9 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored26/260.81 goals/match
0.62 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/261.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots26/268.85 shots/match
4.77 shots/match▲Shots on target26/263.12 shots/match
57.2%Possession26/2644.9%
5.08 corners/matchCorners26/263.19 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards26/262.04 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2613 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 14 matches
1.46 goals/match▲Goals scored13/140.71 goals/match
0.46 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shots13/148.14 shots/match
5.08 shots/match▲Shots on target13/142.57 shots/match
58.4%Possession13/1444.6%
5.77 corners/matchCorners13/143.21 corners/match
1.62 cards/matchCards13/141.93 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1412.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.24 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAS RomaCremonese
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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