PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 23 Feb 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeStadio Artemio FranchiFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Pisa

DLLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFiorentinaPisa
Shots15 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession56%44%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match19 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible home split

moderate

Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsFiorentina · Pisa10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaPisaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fiorentina
1Draws
0Pisa
Pisa — Fiorentina · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fiorentina favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 2 · 5 too close

1.15 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/260.77 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/261.65 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/2610.2 shots/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2615.2 shots/match
3.73 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/262.73 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/264.65 shots/match
52.6%Possessionseason · 26/2640.5%
4.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/263.85 corners/match
4.58 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/264.96 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/26▲2.15 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2613.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲19%
77%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fiorentina62.5
Pisa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fiorentina51.7
Pisa14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fiorentina30.8
Pisa12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fiorentina72.5
Pisa57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina58.8
Pisa58.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fiorentina72.5
Pisa32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fiorentina55
Pisa27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
52.2%Possession5/541%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.4 shots/match
4.9 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.4 shots/match
52.6%Possession10/1040%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards10/102.6 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches
1.15 goals/match▲Goals scored26/260.77 goals/match
1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/261.65 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots26/2610.2 shots/match
3.73 shots/match▲Shots on target26/262.73 shots/match
52.6%Possession26/2640.5%
4.69 corners/matchCorners26/263.85 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards26/262.15 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.23 goals/match
1.46 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.08 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.6 shots/match▲Shots13/139.77 shots/match
4.54 shots/match▲Shots on target13/132.69 shots/match
55.2%Possession13/1338.1%
5.77 corners/matchCorners13/133.77 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards13/132.08 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsFiorentinaPisa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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