PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Pisa

DLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 1–0.

Shots
157
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.840.28
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Pisa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Pisa): shots 15–7, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.84–0.28, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fiorentina's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fiorentina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible home split

moderate

Fiorentina's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Pisa10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaPisaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsFiorentina 15 shots, Pisa 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotFiorentina 5 shots, Pisa 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.84 xG0.28 xGFiorentina 1.84 xG, Pisa 0.28 xG
  • Possession56%44%Fiorentina 56%, Pisa 44%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersFiorentina 4 corners, Pisa 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls19 foulsFiorentina 8 fouls, Pisa 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsFiorentina 3 cards, Pisa 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDodô · Fiorentina · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Caracciolo · Pisa · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRosen Bozhinov · Pisa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Loyola · Pisa · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cuadrado · Pisa · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHenrik Wendel Meister · Pisa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarco Brescianini · Fiorentina · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNicolò Fagioli · Fiorentina · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 87′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAntonio Caracciolo · Pisa · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSimone Canestrelli · Pisa · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 43′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 13′ · 0.46 xG · goalJacopo Fazzini · Fiorentina · 90′ · 0.59 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.80 xG. Pisa: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Moise Kean · Fiorentina · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 1.80 xG · Pisa 0.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fiorentina
1Draws
0Pisa
Pisa — Fiorentina · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Pisa in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina26 matchesPisa26 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.77 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.65 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/260.99 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2610.2 shots/match
3.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/262.73 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession26/2640.5%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners26/263.85 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards26/262.15 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Feb 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFiorentinaPisa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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